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AI Winter Is Coming

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The blog post by Han Lee on September 20, 2024, titled 'AI Winter Is Coming' discusses the issues in AI focused on the dichotomy between 'producers' (creators) and 'promoters' (marketers). It highlights the worrying trends in academia, such as paper mills with catchy titles, citation rings, reproducibility crises, and the prioritization of quantity over quality in publishings. The article also critiques industry research practices of hoarding valuable techniques and the echo chamber effect in AI circles leading to misinformation. Lee predicts an impending AI winter, which he believes may ultimately be beneficial by filtering out promoters and paving the way for real, substantive advancements in AI.

  • Academia is becoming a paper mill driven by 'publish or perish'.
  • Stanford students faked results, claiming to fine-tune LLaMA3 at a level of GPT-4v.
  • Industry research often keeps valuable techniques unpublished for competitive edge.
  • AI research published by industry may serve as marketing rather than critical work.
  • A new AI winter, like past tech downfalls, may actually be beneficial.